Amid the deadlock in medical subsidy negotiations, the U.S. government is at risk of another shutdown

XM Foreign Exchange APP News - Obamacare subsidies are about to expire, with only a few weeks of window left, when insured persons will face the pressure of sharply rising premiums. The progress of negotiations on this core policy issue is directly related to the fact that after the long recess, House Republicans gathered offline again to tackle this core policy issue that triggered the longest government shutdown in U.S. history: If Congress fails to take action, the enhanced premium tax credit benefits of the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) will officially expire at the end of the year. Whether to extend this discount was one of the core demands of the Democratic Party in promoting the temporary appropriation bill, and now it has once again become the focus of the game between the two parties. The disparity in progress between the two chambers + differences within the party have escalated the difficulty of negotiations. Internal Republicans admit that negotiations in the House of Representatives are still in their infancy, while Republicans in the Senate are already refining the framework of the proposal to echo President Donald Trump's core vision of cost reduction of "medical funds going directly to the people." The gap in progress between the two houses makes the already tense negotiation time even more hasty. If a consensus cannot be reached before the end of January, the risk of government shutdown will rise again. Differences within the party further make negotiations more difficult: Conservatives in the House Freedom Caucus and the Republican Study wzhdjgj.committee publicly denounced the enhanced premium tax credit policy as a "targeted transfer" to insurance wzhdjgj.companies and firmly opposed the extension without conditions. Republican moderates regard extending Obamacare subsidies as a political lifeline in next year's midterm elections and understand the importance of this demand for Democrats to accept the appropriation bill. Any health care package with overly ambitious goals may collapse due to the loss of support from both parties, leading to another deadlock between the two parties in funding negotiations, laying the groundwork for a government shutdown. The critical time window and opposing positions make it difficult to break the deadlock among Republicans in the House of RepresentativesThe key window for people to finalize specific proposals is the second week of December; Senate Majority Leader John Thune has promised the Democratic Party that he will arrange a vote to extend the Obamacare subsidy bill in exchange for Democratic support for restarting the government. This wzhdjgj.compromise model that previously led to the passage of the temporary appropriation bill is still an important way to break the deadlock and avoid shutdowns. However, Scalise only said that it is "extremely likely" that the House of Representatives will vote on the health care bill before the end of December, and did not wzhdjgj.commit to synchronizing with the Senate's timeline. Differences in progress keep the risk of shutdown high. Ways and Means wzhdjgj.committee Chairman Jason Smith, a Republican from Missouri, has made it clear that he will "absolutely not" support a "pure extension" of the Obamacare subsidy package. However, if his hardline stance cannot be softened, it may lead to a breakdown in negotiations between the two parties, leading to funding obstruction and a government shutdown. Even if Republicans can reach an internal consensus in the House of Representatives, they will still need the support of at least eight Democratic senators to push the bill forward. The realization of cross-party cooperation is a necessary condition to avoid a government shutdown. "The final outcome depends largely on the position of the White House," said California Democratic Rep. Sam Liccardo. "At present, there is still a long way to go to reach a consensus. And the urgency of time means that any delay may cause the government to shut down again at the end of January." This political deadlock and shutdown risk will affect the U.S. dollar index from two dimensions: short-term risk aversion and long-term credit expectations. Historical data shows that on the eve of a government shutdown, funds tend to flow to low-risk assets such as the U.S. dollar and U.S. bonds, driving the U.S. dollar index to strengthen slightly. However, this support is likely to be unsustainable. If the negotiations fall into a long-term deadlock or eventually trigger a shutdown, the market's confidence in the U.S. government's governance capabilities will be damaged, thereby weakening the credit foundation of the U.S. dollar. More importantly, medical subsidy negotiations are linked to the annual budget. If the appropriation bill is delayed, it will trigger market concerns about the pace of U.S. economic recovery. Overlay

The above content is about "[XM Official Website]: Under the deadlock in medical subsidy negotiations, the U.S. government is at risk of another shutdown." It was carefully wzhdjgj.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

After doing something, there will always be experiences and lessons learned. In order to facilitate future work, the experience and lessons of past work must be analyzed, researched, summarized, concentrated, and understood at a theoretical level.