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Market sentiment worsens as investors reassess Fed's interest rate outlook

Post time: 2025-11-18 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Decision Analysis]: Market sentiment deteriorates, investors reassess the outlook for the Federal Reserve's interest rates." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

As investors take a cautious approach due to uncertainty caused by the U.S. data backlog and bets on a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed), financial markets are dominated by safe-haven flows. The economic calendar will feature weekly ADP employment change data and several Fed policymakers delivering speeches during the U.S. trading session.

Risk-averse market sentiment, reflected in bearish performances by Wall Street's major indexes, helped the U.S. dollar (USD) gain strength against rivals on Monday. The U.S. dollar index rose nearly 0.3%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq wzhdjgj.composite fell 0.9% and 0.8%, respectively. Earlier on Tuesday, the U.S. dollar index remained in a consolidation phase near 99.50, and U.S. stock futures fell 0.3% to 0.6%.

Basic market trends in the foreign exchange market:

The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) November monetary policy meeting on Tuesday showed that if the newly released data is stronger than expected, policymakers will be more willing to keep policy interest rates unchanged for the long term. However, policymakers could also consider further easing if economic growth weakens, according to the publication. After falling more than 0.6% on Monday, AUD/USD continues to be on the back foot, falling below 0.6500 in early European trade on Tuesday.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Tuesday that the government's upcoming economic stimulus plan is "significant in scale" but refused to disclose the specific size. USD/JPY is holding steady around 155.00 after trading close to 155.40 earlier in Asia.

Canadian data on Monday showed annual inflation in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 1.0% from 2.4% in September.2.2% in October. During the European session on Tuesday, USD/CAD was trading in a range around 1.4050.

The euro fell about 0.3% against the dollar on Monday and closed in negative territory for the second consecutive day. The pair was trading sideways around 1.1600 in the European morning.

Bulk market fundamentals:

On Monday, gold fell for the third consecutive trading day, closing below $4,100. Gold remains under bearish pressure heading towards $4,000.

Analysis of major currency trends:

Euro: The intraday bias of EUR/USD remains neutral, with a flat outlook. The pullback from 1.1917 may wzhdjgj.complete a three-wave correction at 1.1467. Above 1.1655 will first target the 1.1727 resistance level. A strong breakout here would solidify this bull case and lead to a retest of the 1.1917 high. However, if it falls below 1.1561, the bear market will be rekindled in the short term and the price will instead target the low of 1.1467.

Market sentiment worsens as investors reassess Feds interest rate outlook(图1)

Sterling: The outlook for GBP/USD remains unchanged, with consolidation continuing above 1.3008. The intraday bias remains neutral, and as long as the 1.3247 support-to-resistance level holds, it is expected to continue to fall. A breakout of 1.3008 will continue the pullback from 1.3787, targeting 138.2% of the 1.3787 forecast, down from 1.3725 to 1.2831 to 1.3140. Nonetheless, a solid break above 1.3247 indicates that the decline from 1.3787 is wzhdjgj.complete as a corrective move.

Market sentiment worsens as investors reassess Feds interest rate outlook(图2)

Japanese Yen: The rise of the yuan against the yen has resumed, breaking through the temporary high of 155.03, and the intraday bias has returned to the upward trend. The current rebound from 139.87 will target 100% of 146.58 to 153.26 from 149.37 to 156.05. A move above this level would pave the way for key structural resistance at 158.85. However, given the bearish divergence conditions on the 4-hour MACD, a solid break above the 153.60 support would signal a short-term top and bring about a deeper pullback to the 55DEMA (now 151.45).

Market sentiment worsens as investors reassess Feds interest rate outlook(图3)

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: Market sentiment deteriorates, investors reassess the outlook for the Federal Reserve's interest rates". It is carefully wzhdjgj.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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