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The Fed attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume

Post time: 2025-11-17 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: The Federal Reserve attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

On November 17, in early Asian trading on Monday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 99.37. Last Friday, as expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve subsided, the U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly, eventually closing up 0.087% at 99.27; U.S. bond yields generally closed higher, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield finally closing at 4.147%, and the 2-year U.S. bond yield, which is sensitive to the Fed's policy interest rate, closed at 3.612%. Affected by the widespread selling triggered by the hawkish remarks of Federal Reserve officials, spot gold plunged during the session, once falling nearly $180 from the daily high. The decline narrowed in late trading, and finally closed down 2.2% at $4,079.58 per ounce, recording two consecutive negative days; spot silver finally closed down 3.4% at $50.56 per ounce. International crude oil rebounded as a Ukrainian drone attack caused the Russian port of Novorossiysk to suspend oil exports. WTI crude oil stood above $60/barrel many times during the session, and finally closed up 2.13% at $59.82/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 0.22% at $63.95/barrel.

Analysis of major currency trends

U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar is hovering around 99.37. The index continues to struggle to find direction as traders prepare for a wave of delayed economic reports following the end of the U.S. government shutdown. With uncertainty surrounding both the timing and wzhdjgj.completeness of these releases, momentum remains limited and positioning remains cautious. Technically, if the U.S. Dollar Index closes above the 99.40 level, it will move towards the 50 moving average at 99.65. A break above the 50 EMA will push the USD Index towards resistance at 100.00–100.15.

The Fed attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume(图1)

Euro: As of press time, EUR/USD is hovering around 1.1621. The U.S. dollar index has been falling for several consecutive days, and some analysts believe that this weak U.S. dollar trend may continue until the end of the year, further prompting the euro to rise. However, as the Fed's policy direction remains uncertain, market sentiment towards the U.S. dollar remains wzhdjgj.complex, and the long-term trend of the U.S. dollar remains unclear. Technically, the RSI is in moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain additional downside momentum if the right catalyst emerges.

The Fed attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3137. Increasing market expectations for a rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) at its December policy meeting also weighed on the pound. The BoE's dovish bets accelerated amid weak employment data for the three months to September and preliminary third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data. According to the International Labor Organization (ILO), the unemployment rate jumped to 5%, while the economy only grew by 0.1%. Investors will focus on UK consumer price index (CPI) data for October due to be released on Wednesday. Technically, if GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3160 ​​level, it will head towards resistance at 1.3250–1.3265.

The Fed attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume(图3)

Gold and crude oil market trend analysis

1) Gold market trend analysis

In Asian trading on Monday, gold hovered around 4085.84. Gold edged higher on a weaker dollar. Traders will get more clues from the Fed's speech later on Monday. The Fed's John Williams, Philip Jefferson, Nir Kashkari and Christopher Waller will speak. Improved market sentiment following the reopening of the federal government weakened safe-haven assets such as gold. The US government has reopened after President Donald Trump signed a funding bill into law last week, ending the longest 43-day shutdown in US history. Federal employees were directed to return to work Thursday.

The Fed attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume(图4)

Technical: Bulls need to regain $4,133.95 to re-establish control and push towards $4,245.20 and above. Failure to do so could trigger stronger selling interest and a further retracement back to previous value areas.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

On Monday’s Asian session, crude oil was trading around 59.37. Supply-side concerns and technical buying helped the market after a sharp midweek selloffstable. While global inventory data and revised supply forecasts from OPEC and the International Energy Agency weighed heavily on sentiment, Friday's rebound was driven by a short-covering rally triggered by heightened geopolitical tensions and technical signals.

The Fed attacks the gold market, Trump bets on U.S. debt, and Russian oil exports resume(图5)

Technical aspect: From a technical perspective, last week's rebound from the support level of $58.12 indicates that a short-term bottom may be reached. Prices settled above the Fibonacci support at $59.44 and the modest 50% retracement at $58.28. However, the real test lies ahead: the 62.25 weekly moving average at $52 remains a major resistance and has resisted a rebound over the past month. A break above this barrier is needed to turn the mid-term outlook to bullish and set a long-term pivot target at $63.74.

Foreign exchange market trading reminder on November 17, 2025

①21:30 Canadian October CPI monthly rate

②21:30 US New York Fed in November Manufacturing Index

③23:00 U.S. monthly construction spending rate in August

④At 02:00 the next day, Fed Kashkari hosted a fireside chat

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